Wisła Kraków
GKS Katowice
The model leans Wisła Kraków at 37%. Expected goals: Wisła Kraków 1.48, GKS Katowice 1.36. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 59%. Wisła Kraków won 3 of their last 6; GKS Katowice won 3 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wisła Kraków | 39% | 2.57 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.65 | – | – | – |
| 2GKS Katowice | 34% | 2.97 | – | – | – |
Pick: Wisła Kraków. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.48 – 1.36| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–18.0%
- 2–06.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Wisła Kraków 0| Wisła Kraków line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| 0 | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| +0.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.