Dundee FC
Hibernian
The model leans Hibernian at 40%. Expected goals: Dundee FC 1.15, Hibernian 1.48. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%. Dundee FC won 2 of their last 6; Hibernian won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dundee FC | 28% | 3.57 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.54 | – | – | – |
| 2Hibernian | 44% | 2.29 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hibernian. Calibrated probability 40% (raw model output 44%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.15 – 1.48| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.3%
- 0–27.9%
- 0–07.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 44% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hibernian −0.5| Dundee FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| 0 | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| +0.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.