Dundee FC
Aberdeen
The model leans Dundee FC at 43%. Expected goals: Dundee FC 1.49, Aberdeen 1.04. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 51%. Dundee FC won 2 of their last 6; Aberdeen won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dundee FC | 46% | 2.15 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.51 | – | – | – |
| 2Aberdeen | 25% | 3.98 | – | – | – |
Pick: Dundee FC. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 46%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.49 – 1.04| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams to score | Yes50% | No50% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–08.0%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Dundee FC −0.5| Dundee FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| 0 | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| +0.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.