Aberdeen
Rangers
The model leans Rangers at 53%. Expected goals: Aberdeen 1.04, Rangers 2.11. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 58%. Aberdeen won 3 of their last 6; Rangers won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Aberdeen | 17% | 5.88 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.50 | – | – | – |
| 2Rangers | 61% | 1.65 | – | – | – |
Pick: Rangers. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.04 – 2.11| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.5%
- 1–19.4%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–37.0%
- 0–36.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Rangers −1| Aberdeen line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| 0 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| +0.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| +1 | 38% | 23% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.