Rangers
Jablonec
The model leans Rangers at 69%. Expected goals: Rangers 3.14, Jablonec 0.90. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 57%. Rangers won 3 of their last 6; Jablonec won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rangers | 81% | 1.24 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 13% | 7.95 | – | – | – |
| 2Jablonec | 7% | 14.51 | – | – | – |
Pick: Rangers. Calibrated probability 69% (raw model output 81%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 93%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.14 – 0.90| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 3–09.1%
- 2–08.7%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–17.8%
- 4–07.1%
- 4–16.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 64% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Rangers −2| Rangers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| -1 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| -0.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
| 0 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +0.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.