Predictions · Club Friendlies · outside model coverage

Rangers

00
Lost

West Ham United

The model leans Rangers at 42%. Expected goals: Rangers 1.88, West Ham United 1.52. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 67%. Rangers won 3 of their last 6; West Ham United won 3 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Rangers45%2.21
XDraw24%4.13
2West Ham United31%3.27

Pick: Rangers. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.88 – 1.52
LineOverUnder
1.585%15%
2.566%34%
3.544%56%
Both teams to scoreYes66%No34%

Most likely scores

  • 119.5%
  • 219.0%
  • 127.3%
  • 226.8%
  • 106.3%
  • 205.9%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Rangers −0.5
Rangers lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.526%74%
-126%21%54%
-0.546%54%
046%22%31%
+0.569%31%
+169%17%15%
+1.585%15%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.