Hibernian
Partick Thistle
The model leans Hibernian at 37%. Expected goals: Hibernian 1.35, Partick Thistle 1.21. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 53%. Hibernian won 3 of their last 6; Partick Thistle won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hibernian | 39% | 2.57 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.43 | – | – | – |
| 2Partick Thistle | 32% | 3.12 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hibernian. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.35 – 1.21| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams to score | Yes52% | No48% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–07.8%
- 1–27.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hibernian 0| Hibernian line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| 0 | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| +0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.