Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
The model leans Partick Thistle at 53%. Expected goals: Partick Thistle 1.82, Queen's Park 0.82. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%. Partick Thistle won 2 of their last 6; Queen's Park won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Partick Thistle | 60% | 1.67 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.06 | – | – | – |
| 2Queen's Park | 15% | 6.49 | – | – | – |
Pick: Partick Thistle. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.82 – 0.82| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% |
| Both teams to score | Yes47% | No53% |
Most likely scores
- 1–013.0%
- 2–011.8%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–07.2%
- 3–07.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 43% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Partick Thistle −1| Partick Thistle line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| 0 | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| +0.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.