Queen's Park
Stenhousemuir
The model leans Stenhousemuir at 29%. Expected goals: Queen's Park 0.92, Stenhousemuir 1.01. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 61%. Queen's Park won 1 of their last 6; Stenhousemuir won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Queen's Park | 31% | 3.27 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 34% | 2.92 | – | – | – |
| 2Stenhousemuir | 35% | 2.84 | – | – | – |
Pick: Stenhousemuir. Calibrated probability 29% (raw model output 35%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 69%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.92 – 1.01| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% |
| Both teams to score | Yes38% | No62% |
Most likely scores
- 0–114.7%
- 0–014.6%
- 1–113.5%
- 1–013.4%
- 0–27.4%
- 1–26.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 59% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Queen's Park 0| Queen's Park line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 11% | – | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 21% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| 0 | 32% | 32% | 37% |
| +0.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 23% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.