Brøndby IF
Nordsjælland
The model leans Brøndby IF at 37%. Expected goals: Brøndby IF 1.37, Nordsjælland 1.24. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%. Brøndby IF won 4 of their last 6; Nordsjælland won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brøndby IF | 39% | 2.59 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.47 | – | – | – |
| 2Nordsjælland | 33% | 3.07 | – | – | – |
Pick: Brøndby IF. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.37 – 1.24| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–07.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 48% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Brøndby IF 0| Brøndby IF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| 0 | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.