FC Midtjylland
Silkeborg
The model leans FC Midtjylland at 73%. Expected goals: FC Midtjylland 3.60, Silkeborg 0.81. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 54%. FC Midtjylland won 3 of their last 6; Silkeborg won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Midtjylland | 87% | 1.15 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 9% | 11.04 | – | – | – |
| 2Silkeborg | 4% | 24.10 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Midtjylland. Calibrated probability 73% (raw model output 87%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 96%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.60 – 0.81| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 64% | 36% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 3–09.6%
- 4–08.6%
- 2–08.0%
- 3–17.7%
- 4–17.0%
- 2–16.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Midtjylland −2| FC Midtjylland line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| -1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| -0.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
| 0 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +0.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.