Lunds BK
BK Olympic
The model leans Lunds BK at 53%. Expected goals: Lunds BK 2.47, BK Olympic 1.42. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 70%. Lunds BK won 3 of their last 6; BK Olympic won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lunds BK | 60% | 1.67 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 4.99 | – | – | – |
| 2BK Olympic | 20% | 4.95 | – | – | – |
Pick: Lunds BK. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.47 – 1.42| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Both teams to score | Yes69% | No31% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.9%
- 3–17.3%
- 1–17.2%
- 2–26.3%
- 2–06.3%
- 3–25.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Lunds BK −1| Lunds BK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 21% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| 0 | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| +0.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.