BK Olympic
IFK Göteborg
The model leans IFK Göteborg at 61%. Expected goals: BK Olympic 1.24, IFK Göteborg 2.82. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 68%. BK Olympic won 1 of their last 6; IFK Göteborg won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1BK Olympic | 14% | 7.30 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 17% | 5.93 | – | – | – |
| 2IFK Göteborg | 69% | 1.44 | – | – | – |
Pick: IFK Göteborg. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 69%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.24 – 2.82| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| Both teams to score | Yes67% | No33% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.5%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–26.9%
- 0–36.4%
- 1–16.1%
- 1–45.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 66% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IFK Göteborg −1.5| BK Olympic line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5% | – | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| 0 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| +0.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| +1 | 30% | 20% | 50% |
| +1.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.