BK Olympic
Tvååkers IF
The model leans BK Olympic at 41%. Expected goals: BK Olympic 1.29, Tvååkers IF 0.87. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 57%. BK Olympic won 1 of their last 6; Tvååkers IF won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1BK Olympic | 45% | 2.22 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.21 | – | – | – |
| 2Tvååkers IF | 24% | 4.20 | – | – | – |
Pick: BK Olympic. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.29 – 0.87| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% |
| Both teams to score | Yes42% | No58% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.9%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–011.5%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–09.6%
- 2–18.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 56% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: BK Olympic −0.5| BK Olympic line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 21% | – | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| 0 | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.