BK Olympic
AFC Malmoe
The model leans AFC Malmoe at 39%. Expected goals: BK Olympic 1.86, AFC Malmoe 2.05. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 74%. BK Olympic won 1 of their last 6; AFC Malmoe won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1BK Olympic | 35% | 2.84 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.46 | – | – | – |
| 2AFC Malmoe | 42% | 2.36 | – | – | – |
Pick: AFC Malmoe. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.86 – 2.05| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% |
| Both teams to score | Yes74% | No26% |
Most likely scores
- 1–27.8%
- 1–17.6%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–35.3%
- 2–35.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 61% · BTTS Yes 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: BK Olympic 0| BK Olympic line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 19% | – | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| 0 | 36% | 21% | 43% |
| +0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.