AFC Malmoe
BK Olympic
The model leans AFC Malmoe at 51%. Expected goals: AFC Malmoe 2.50, BK Olympic 1.53. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 73%. AFC Malmoe won 1 of their last 6; BK Olympic won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1AFC Malmoe | 58% | 1.72 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 5.01 | – | – | – |
| 2BK Olympic | 22% | 4.57 | – | – | – |
Pick: AFC Malmoe. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 58%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.50 – 1.53| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Both teams to score | Yes72% | No28% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.5%
- 3–17.1%
- 1–16.8%
- 2–26.5%
- 2–05.6%
- 3–25.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 63% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: AFC Malmoe −1| AFC Malmoe line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 20% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| 0 | 59% | 19% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.