IK Oddevold
Ljungskile
The model leans IK Oddevold at 39%. Expected goals: IK Oddevold 1.79, Ljungskile 1.56. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 67%. IK Oddevold won 2 of their last 6; Ljungskile won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1IK Oddevold | 42% | 2.36 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.06 | – | – | – |
| 2Ljungskile | 33% | 3.04 | – | – | – |
Pick: IK Oddevold. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.79 – 1.56| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Both teams to score | Yes66% | No34% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.8%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.3%
- 2–05.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IK Oddevold 0| IK Oddevold line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.