Forward Madison FC
Cosmos
The model leans Forward Madison FC at 60%. Expected goals: Forward Madison FC 2.61, Cosmos 1.22. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 66%. Forward Madison FC won 2 of their last 6; Cosmos won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Forward Madison FC | 67% | 1.50 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.45 | – | – | – |
| 2Cosmos | 15% | 6.61 | – | – | – |
Pick: Forward Madison FC. Calibrated probability 60% (raw model output 67%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.61 – 1.22| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| Both teams to score | Yes65% | No35% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.0%
- 3–17.9%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–16.9%
- 3–06.4%
- 1–05.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Forward Madison FC −1.5| Forward Madison FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 21% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| 0 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +0.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.