Corpus Christi
Cosmos
The model leans Corpus Christi at 43%. Expected goals: Corpus Christi 2.03, Cosmos 1.61. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 70%. Corpus Christi won 2 of their last 6; Cosmos won 1 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Corpus Christi | 47% | 2.14 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.33 | – | – | – |
| 2Cosmos | 30% | 3.32 | – | – | – |
Pick: Corpus Christi. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.03 – 1.61| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| Both teams to score | Yes70% | No30% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.7%
- 1–18.6%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.9%
- 3–15.9%
- 2–05.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Corpus Christi −0.5| Corpus Christi line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 20% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| 0 | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| +0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.