Corpus Christi
One Knoxville SC
The model leans One Knoxville SC at 51%. Expected goals: Corpus Christi 0.83, One Knoxville SC 1.69. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 53%. Corpus Christi won 2 of their last 6; One Knoxville SC won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Corpus Christi | 17% | 5.88 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.81 | – | – | – |
| 2One Knoxville SC | 57% | 1.76 | – | – | – |
Pick: One Knoxville SC. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 57%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.83 – 1.69| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% |
| Both teams to score | Yes46% | No54% |
Most likely scores
- 0–113.7%
- 0–211.5%
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–08.1%
- 1–06.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: One Knoxville SC −1| Corpus Christi line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 13% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| 0 | 18% | 24% | 58% |
| +0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.