Predictions · USL League One · outside model coverage

Corpus Christi

22
Lost

Westchester SC

The model leans Corpus Christi at 36%. Expected goals: Corpus Christi 1.56, Westchester SC 1.56. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 63%. Corpus Christi won 2 of their last 6; Westchester SC won 0 of their last 4.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Corpus Christi37%2.70
XDraw26%3.86
2Westchester SC37%2.70

Pick: Corpus Christi. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 37%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 74%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.56 – 1.56
LineOverUnder
1.582%18%
2.560%40%
3.538%62%
Both teams to scoreYes62%No38%

Most likely scores

  • 1110.7%
  • 218.4%
  • 128.4%
  • 106.9%
  • 016.9%
  • 226.5%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Corpus Christi 0
Corpus Christi lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.519%81%
-119%19%62%
-0.538%62%
038%24%38%
+0.562%38%
+162%19%19%
+1.581%19%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.