Predictions · USL League One · outside model coverage

Spokane Velocity FC

21
Won

Westchester SC

The model leans Spokane Velocity FC at 51%. Expected goals: Spokane Velocity FC 1.85, Westchester SC 0.98. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 54%. Spokane Velocity FC won 3 of their last 6; Westchester SC won 0 of their last 4.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Spokane Velocity FC57%1.77
XDraw25%4.05
2Westchester SC19%5.34

Pick: Spokane Velocity FC. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 57%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 81%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.85 – 0.98
LineOverUnder
1.577%23%
2.554%46%
3.531%69%
Both teams to scoreYes53%No47%

Most likely scores

  • 1010.9%
  • 1110.7%
  • 2010.1%
  • 219.9%
  • 306.2%
  • 316.1%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Spokane Velocity FC −1
Spokane Velocity FC lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.533%67%
-133%24%42%
-0.558%42%
058%23%20%
+0.580%20%
+180%13%7%
+1.593%7%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.