Spokane Velocity FC
One Knoxville SC
The model leans One Knoxville SC at 30%. Expected goals: Spokane Velocity FC 0.98, One Knoxville SC 1.06. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 58%. Spokane Velocity FC won 3 of their last 6; One Knoxville SC won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Spokane Velocity FC | 31% | 3.21 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 33% | 3.02 | – | – | – |
| 2One Knoxville SC | 36% | 2.80 | – | – | – |
Pick: One Knoxville SC. Calibrated probability 30% (raw model output 36%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 69%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.98 – 1.06| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% |
| Both teams to score | Yes41% | No59% |
Most likely scores
- 0–113.8%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–013.0%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–27.4%
- 1–27.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Spokane Velocity FC 0| Spokane Velocity FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 21% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| 0 | 32% | 30% | 37% |
| +0.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.