Kristiansund
Start
The model leans Kristiansund at 37%. Expected goals: Kristiansund 1.53, Start 1.37. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 60%. Kristiansund won 1 of their last 6; Start won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kristiansund | 40% | 2.49 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.71 | – | – | – |
| 2Start | 33% | 3.04 | – | – | – |
Pick: Kristiansund. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.53 – 1.37| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–06.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Kristiansund 0| Kristiansund line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20% | – | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | – | 59% |
| 0 | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.