Brann
Start
The model leans Brann at 63%. Expected goals: Brann 2.97, Start 1.25. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 68%. Brann won 3 of their last 6; Start won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brann | 72% | 1.40 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 16% | 6.34 | – | – | – |
| 2Start | 13% | 7.94 | – | – | – |
Pick: Brann. Calibrated probability 63% (raw model output 72%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.97 – 1.25| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| Both teams to score | Yes68% | No32% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.1%
- 3–18.0%
- 2–06.5%
- 3–06.4%
- 4–16.0%
- 1–15.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Brann −1.5| Brann line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
| -1 | 53% | 19% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| 0 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +0.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.