Sandefjord
Brann
The model leans Brann at 38%. Expected goals: Sandefjord 1.60, Brann 1.74. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 67%. Sandefjord won 1 of their last 6; Brann won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sandefjord | 35% | 2.89 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.03 | – | – | – |
| 2Brann | 41% | 2.46 | – | – | – |
Pick: Brann. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.60 – 1.74| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Both teams to score | Yes66% | No34% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.9%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.2%
- 1–05.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Sandefjord 0| Sandefjord line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| 0 | 36% | 23% | 42% |
| +0.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 20% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.