Predictions · Eliteserien · outside model coverage

Brann

30
Won

Hamarkameratene

The model leans Brann at 50%. Expected goals: Brann 2.22, Hamarkameratene 1.46. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 69%. Brann won 3 of their last 6; Hamarkameratene won 1 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Brann54%1.85
XDraw22%4.57
2Hamarkameratene24%4.14

Pick: Brann. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 2.22 – 1.46
LineOverUnder
1.588%12%
2.571%29%
3.550%50%
Both teams to scoreYes68%No32%

Most likely scores

  • 219.1%
  • 118.2%
  • 316.7%
  • 226.6%
  • 206.2%
  • 126.0%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Brann −0.5
Brann lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.534%66%
-134%21%45%
-0.555%45%
055%20%25%
+0.575%25%
+175%14%11%
+1.589%11%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.