Sarpsborg 08
Hamarkameratene
The model leans Sarpsborg 08 at 39%. Expected goals: Sarpsborg 08 1.76, Hamarkameratene 1.58. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 67%. Sarpsborg 08 won 1 of their last 6; Hamarkameratene won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sarpsborg 08 | 42% | 2.41 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.04 | – | – | – |
| 2Hamarkameratene | 34% | 2.96 | – | – | – |
Pick: Sarpsborg 08. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.76 – 1.58| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Both teams to score | Yes66% | No34% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.9%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.3%
- 0–15.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Sarpsborg 08 0| Sarpsborg 08 line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 23% | 35% |
| +0.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.