Hamarkameratene
Aalesund
The model leans Hamarkameratene at 50%. Expected goals: Hamarkameratene 2.00, Aalesund 1.46. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%. Hamarkameratene won 1 of their last 6; Aalesund won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hamarkameratene | 49% | 2.03 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.25 | – | – | – |
| 2Aalesund | 27% | 3.68 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hamarkameratene. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.00 – 1.46| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Both teams to score | Yes66% | No34% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–26.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.3%
- 2–06.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hamarkameratene −0.5| Hamarkameratene line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 21% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| 0 | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| +0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.