Sandefjord
Bodø/Glimt
The model leans Bodø/Glimt at 57%. Expected goals: Sandefjord 1.14, Bodø/Glimt 2.46. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 63%. Sandefjord won 1 of their last 6; Bodø/Glimt won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sandefjord | 15% | 6.61 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.18 | – | – | – |
| 2Bodø/Glimt | 66% | 1.53 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bodø/Glimt. Calibrated probability 57% (raw model output 66%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.14 – 2.46| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| Both teams to score | Yes62% | No38% |
Most likely scores
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–37.7%
- 1–17.7%
- 0–36.8%
- 0–16.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bodø/Glimt −1| Sandefjord line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| 0 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| +0.5 | 34% | – | 66% |
| +1 | 34% | 22% | 45% |
| +1.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.