Vålerenga
Bodø/Glimt
The model leans Bodø/Glimt at 61%. Expected goals: Vålerenga 1.47, Bodø/Glimt 3.10. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 74%. Vålerenga won 2 of their last 6; Bodø/Glimt won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vålerenga | 15% | 6.80 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 16% | 6.35 | – | – | – |
| 2Bodø/Glimt | 70% | 1.44 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bodø/Glimt. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 70%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.47 – 3.10| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Both teams to score | Yes73% | No27% |
Most likely scores
- 1–37.6%
- 1–27.4%
- 1–45.9%
- 2–35.6%
- 2–25.4%
- 0–35.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bodø/Glimt −1.5| Vålerenga line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| 0 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| +0.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| +1 | 30% | 19% | 51% |
| +1.5 | 49% | – | 51% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.