Bodø/Glimt
Union St.Gilloise
The model leans Bodø/Glimt at 51%. Expected goals: Bodø/Glimt 1.91, Union St.Gilloise 0.98. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 54%. Bodø/Glimt won 5 of their last 6; Union St.Gilloise won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bodø/Glimt | 58% | 1.72 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.16 | – | – | – |
| 2Union St.Gilloise | 18% | 5.61 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bodø/Glimt. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 58%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 82%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.91 – 0.98| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 1–010.6%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.5%
- 3–16.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bodø/Glimt −1| Bodø/Glimt line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| 0 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +0.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.