Viking
Sandefjord
The model leans Viking at 64%. Expected goals: Viking 2.64, Sandefjord 0.88. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 55%. Viking won 4 of their last 6; Sandefjord won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Viking | 74% | 1.35 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 16% | 6.08 | – | – | – |
| 2Sandefjord | 9% | 10.58 | – | – | – |
Pick: Viking. Calibrated probability 64% (raw model output 74%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 91%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.64 – 0.88| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–09.1%
- 3–18.0%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–16.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Viking −1.5| Viking line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| -1 | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| 0 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +0.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.