Buckie Thistle
Rothes
The model leans Buckie Thistle at 78%. Expected goals: Buckie Thistle 5.24, Rothes 0.79. Over 2.5 goals 94%, both teams to score 55%. Buckie Thistle won 4 of their last 5; Rothes won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Buckie Thistle | 96% | 1.05 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 3% | 31.65 | – | – | – |
| 2Rothes | 1% | 82.64 | – | – | – |
Pick: Buckie Thistle. Calibrated probability 78% (raw model output 96%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 99%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 5.24 – 0.79| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% |
| 2.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 84% | 16% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 5–08.6%
- 4–08.2%
- 6–07.5%
- 5–16.8%
- 4–16.5%
- 3–06.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 73% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Buckie Thistle −2| Buckie Thistle line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
| -1 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| -0.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
| 0 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +0.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
| +1 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.