Nairn County
Rothes
The model leans Nairn County at 73%. Expected goals: Nairn County 4.10, Rothes 1.02. Over 2.5 goals 88%, both teams to score 63%. Nairn County won 1 of their last 6; Rothes won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nairn County | 88% | 1.14 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 8% | 12.82 | – | – | – |
| 2Rothes | 4% | 23.36 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nairn County. Calibrated probability 73% (raw model output 88%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 96%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 4.10 – 1.02| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% |
| Both teams to score | Yes63% | No37% |
Most likely scores
- 4–17.4%
- 4–07.2%
- 3–17.2%
- 3–07.1%
- 5–16.0%
- 5–05.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 71% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Nairn County −2| Nairn County line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| -1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| -0.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
| 0 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +0.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.