Predictions · Highland / Lowland · outside model coverage

Rothes

32
Lost

Wick Academy

The model leans Wick Academy at 50%. Expected goals: Rothes 1.47, Wick Academy 2.20. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 69%. Rothes won 1 of their last 5; Wick Academy won 0 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Rothes24%4.09
XDraw22%4.54
2Wick Academy54%1.87

Pick: Wick Academy. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.47 – 2.20
LineOverUnder
1.588%12%
2.571%29%
3.550%50%
Both teams to scoreYes68%No32%

Most likely scores

  • 129.1%
  • 118.2%
  • 136.7%
  • 226.7%
  • 026.2%
  • 216.0%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Wick Academy −0.5
Rothes lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.511%89%
-111%14%75%
-0.525%75%
025%20%54%
+0.546%54%
+146%21%33%
+1.567%33%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.