Deveronvale
Rothes
The model leans Deveronvale at 67%. Expected goals: Deveronvale 3.61, Rothes 1.48. Over 2.5 goals 88%, both teams to score 76%. Deveronvale won 1 of their last 5; Rothes won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deveronvale | 76% | 1.31 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 13% | 7.89 | – | – | – |
| 2Rothes | 11% | 9.03 | – | – | – |
Pick: Deveronvale. Calibrated probability 67% (raw model output 76%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 89%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.61 – 1.48| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% |
| Both teams to score | Yes75% | No25% |
Most likely scores
- 3–17.2%
- 4–16.5%
- 2–16.0%
- 3–25.4%
- 3–04.9%
- 4–24.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 71% · BTTS Yes 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Deveronvale −2| Deveronvale line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| -1 | 60% | 17% | 24% |
| -0.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
| 0 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +0.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.