Nairn County
Deveronvale
The model leans Nairn County at 55%. Expected goals: Nairn County 2.53, Deveronvale 1.25. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 66%. Nairn County won 1 of their last 6; Deveronvale won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nairn County | 64% | 1.55 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.23 | – | – | – |
| 2Deveronvale | 16% | 6.07 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nairn County. Calibrated probability 55% (raw model output 64%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.53 – 1.25| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| Both teams to score | Yes66% | No34% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.7%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–17.2%
- 3–06.2%
- 1–05.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Nairn County −1| Nairn County line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 44% | – | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 21% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
| 0 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.