Keith
Wick Academy
The model leans Keith at 71%. Expected goals: Keith 2.96, Wick Academy 0.49. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 63%. Keith won 1 of their last 6; Wick Academy won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Keith | 86% | 1.16 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 11% | 9.33 | – | – | – |
| 2Wick Academy | 3% | 30.49 | – | – | – |
Pick: Keith. Calibrated probability 71% (raw model output 86%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 97%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.96 – 0.49| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Both teams to score | Yes37% | No63% |
Most likely scores
- 2–013.9%
- 3–013.7%
- 4–010.1%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–16.9%
- 3–16.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Keith −2| Keith line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| -1 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| -0.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
| 0 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +0.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.