Clachnacuddin
Keith
The model leans Keith at 50%. Expected goals: Clachnacuddin 1.58, Keith 2.29. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 72%. Clachnacuddin won 3 of their last 6; Keith won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Clachnacuddin | 26% | 3.90 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.66 | – | – | – |
| 2Keith | 53% | 1.89 | – | – | – |
Pick: Keith. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.58 – 2.29| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.7%
- 1–17.6%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.6%
- 2–16.0%
- 0–25.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Keith −0.5| Clachnacuddin line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| 0 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| +0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 21% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.