Clachnacuddin
Elgin City
The model leans Clachnacuddin at 50%. Expected goals: Clachnacuddin 2.62, Elgin City 1.97. Over 2.5 goals 84%, both teams to score 80%. Clachnacuddin won 3 of their last 6; Elgin City won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Clachnacuddin | 52% | 1.93 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.13 | – | – | – |
| 2Elgin City | 29% | 3.48 | – | – | – |
Pick: Clachnacuddin. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.62 – 1.97| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Both teams to score | Yes80% | No20% |
Most likely scores
- 2–16.9%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.0%
- 3–25.9%
- 1–15.2%
- 1–25.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 63%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Clachnacuddin −0.5| Clachnacuddin line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
| 0 | 52% | 18% | 29% |
| +0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.