Fraserburgh
Clachnacuddin
The model leans Fraserburgh at 50%. Expected goals: Fraserburgh 2.45, Clachnacuddin 1.74. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 76%. Fraserburgh won 3 of their last 6; Clachnacuddin won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fraserburgh | 53% | 1.89 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 4.89 | – | – | – |
| 2Clachnacuddin | 27% | 3.75 | – | – | – |
Pick: Fraserburgh. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.45 – 1.74| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams to score | Yes75% | No25% |
Most likely scores
- 2–17.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–16.5%
- 3–16.5%
- 1–25.6%
- 3–25.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 68% · BTTS Yes 61%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Fraserburgh −0.5| Fraserburgh line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 34% | – | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 20% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
| 0 | 53% | 19% | 27% |
| +0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.