Wick Academy
Turriff United
The model leans Turriff United at 55%. Expected goals: Wick Academy 0.90, Turriff United 2.08. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 53%. Wick Academy won 0 of their last 6; Turriff United won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wick Academy | 14% | 6.98 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.55 | – | – | – |
| 2Turriff United | 64% | 1.57 | – | – | – |
Pick: Turriff United. Calibrated probability 55% (raw model output 64%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.90 – 2.08| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| Both teams to score | Yes52% | No48% |
Most likely scores
- 0–211.0%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.5%
- 0–37.6%
- 1–36.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 52% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Turriff United −1| Wick Academy line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5% | – | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| 0 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| +0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.