Brora Rangers
Turriff United
The model leans Brora Rangers at 62%. Expected goals: Brora Rangers 2.57, Turriff United 1.00. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 59%. Brora Rangers won 4 of their last 6; Turriff United won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brora Rangers | 70% | 1.42 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.65 | – | – | – |
| 2Turriff United | 12% | 8.45 | – | – | – |
Pick: Brora Rangers. Calibrated probability 62% (raw model output 70%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 88%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.57 – 1.00| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| Both teams to score | Yes58% | No42% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.3%
- 2–09.3%
- 3–18.0%
- 3–08.0%
- 1–17.2%
- 1–07.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Brora Rangers −1.5| Brora Rangers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| 0 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +0.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.