Buckie Thistle
Brora Rangers
The model leans Brora Rangers at 51%. Expected goals: Buckie Thistle 1.27, Brora Rangers 2.08. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%. Buckie Thistle won 4 of their last 5; Brora Rangers won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Buckie Thistle | 22% | 4.57 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.38 | – | – | – |
| 2Brora Rangers | 55% | 1.81 | – | – | – |
Pick: Brora Rangers. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.27 – 2.08| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Both teams to score | Yes63% | No37% |
Most likely scores
- 1–29.6%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–27.6%
- 0–17.3%
- 1–36.7%
- 2–26.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Brora Rangers −1| Buckie Thistle line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9% | – | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
| 0 | 23% | 21% | 56% |
| +0.5 | 44% | – | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.