Brora Rangers
Inverurie Loco Works
The model leans Brora Rangers at 70%. Expected goals: Brora Rangers 3.87, Inverurie Loco Works 1.13. Over 2.5 goals 87%, both teams to score 67%. Brora Rangers won 4 of their last 6; Inverurie Loco Works won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brora Rangers | 85% | 1.18 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 10% | 10.52 | – | – | – |
| 2Inverurie Loco Works | 6% | 16.72 | – | – | – |
Pick: Brora Rangers. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 85%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 94%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.87 – 1.13| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% |
| Both teams to score | Yes66% | No34% |
Most likely scores
- 3–17.5%
- 4–17.2%
- 3–06.6%
- 4–06.4%
- 2–15.8%
- 5–15.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 71% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Brora Rangers −2| Brora Rangers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| -1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| -0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| 0 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +0.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.