Inverurie Loco Works
Forres Mechanics
The model leans Inverurie Loco Works at 43%. Expected goals: Inverurie Loco Works 2.22, Forres Mechanics 1.84. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 76%. Inverurie Loco Works won 3 of their last 6; Forres Mechanics won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Inverurie Loco Works | 46% | 2.16 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.62 | – | – | – |
| 2Forres Mechanics | 32% | 3.12 | – | – | – |
Pick: Inverurie Loco Works. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 46%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.22 – 1.84| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| Both teams to score | Yes75% | No25% |
Most likely scores
- 2–17.8%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–17.1%
- 1–26.5%
- 3–15.8%
- 3–25.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 65% · BTTS Yes 61%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Inverurie Loco Works −0.5| Inverurie Loco Works line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| 0 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| +0.5 | 67% | – | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.