Predictions · Highland / Lowland · outside model coverage

Clachnacuddin

00
Lost

Turriff United

The model leans Clachnacuddin at 43%. Expected goals: Clachnacuddin 2.35, Turriff United 1.96. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 78%. Clachnacuddin won 3 of their last 6; Turriff United won 2 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Clachnacuddin47%2.13
XDraw21%4.81
2Turriff United32%3.10

Pick: Clachnacuddin. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 79%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 2.35 – 1.96
LineOverUnder
1.593%7%
2.580%20%
3.562%38%
Both teams to scoreYes78%No22%

Most likely scores

  • 217.3%
  • 227.1%
  • 116.2%
  • 126.1%
  • 315.7%
  • 325.6%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 63%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Clachnacuddin −0.5
Clachnacuddin lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.529%71%
-129%19%53%
-0.547%53%
047%20%33%
+0.567%33%
+167%16%17%
+1.583%17%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.