Deportes Iquique
Antofagasta
The model leans Antofagasta at 37%. Expected goals: Deportes Iquique 1.26, Antofagasta 1.44. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 56%. Deportes Iquique won 3 of their last 6; Antofagasta won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportes Iquique | 32% | 3.13 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.55 | – | – | – |
| 2Antofagasta | 40% | 2.51 | – | – | – |
Pick: Antofagasta. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.26 – 1.44| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes55% | No45% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–17.7%
- 0–26.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 40% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Deportes Iquique 0| Deportes Iquique line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| 0 | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| +0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.