Deportes Iquique
San Luis
The model leans Deportes Iquique at 42%. Expected goals: Deportes Iquique 1.69, San Luis 1.27. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%. Deportes Iquique won 3 of their last 6; San Luis won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Deportes Iquique | 46% | 2.17 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.83 | – | – | – |
| 2San Luis | 28% | 3.59 | – | – | – |
Pick: Deportes Iquique. Calibrated probability 42% (raw model output 46%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.69 – 1.27| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–27.1%
- 0–16.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 52% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Deportes Iquique −0.5| Deportes Iquique line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 25% | – | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| 0 | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| +0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.